Burnley v Middlesbrough

1:1

Full time

Burnley v Middlesbrough in English Championship The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Burnley v Middlesbrough

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Middlesbrough at 63.2% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.

Model	1 · Burnley	X	2 · Middlesbrough	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	29.7%	27.6%	42.7%	Away win · Middlesbrough	✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)	19.0%	17.8%	63.2%	Away win · Middlesbrough	✘ Missed
Data Providers	35.0%	35.0%	30.0%	Home win · Burnley	✘ Missed
Final score	1:1			Draw

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.77 on a Burnley win, 3.52 on the draw and 2.39 on a Middlesbrough win (closing odds).

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Burnley win	2.77	2.92 Pinnacle	36.1%	19%
Draw	3.52	3.70 10Bet	28.4%	17.8%
Middlesbrough win	2.39	2.48 Unibet	41.8%	63.2%
Over 2.5 goals	1.65	1.70 Betano	60.6%	62.4%
Under 2.5 goals	2.20	2.32 Pinnacle	45.5%	37.6%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.52	1.56 Unibet	65.8%	53.7%
Both teams to score - No	2.39	2.55 Betfair	41.8%	46.3%

Updated: 02.09.2026 16:26 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Burnley v Middlesbrough

23′A. Morris · Goal (assist: S. Berhalter)
28′H. Mejbri · Yellow card
39′W. Lankshear · Yellow card
46′A. Hountondji · Substitution (off: L. Ramazani)
46′H. Mejbri · Substitution (off: M. Alleyne)
54′U. Raghouber · Goal (assist: Z. Amdouni)
61′R. McGree · Substitution (off: T. Conway)
61′K. Joseph · Substitution (off: L. Castledine)
71′A. Jones · Yellow card
71′Z. Amdouni · Substitution (off: A. Ramsey)
74′A. Jones · Substitution (off: A. Phillips)
77′J. Bruun Larsen · Substitution (off: A. Broja)
81′D. Satpaev · Substitution (off: M. Tresor Ndayishimiye)
87′W. Lankshear · Substitution (off: D. Strelec)
90+1′U. Raghouber · Yellow card

Form and head-to-head: Burnley v Middlesbrough

Burnley

LDLLD

12 Sep 2026ASwansea City1–3L
8 Sep 2026AWrexham1–1D
5 Sep 2026HBristol City1–2L
29 Aug 2026ANorwich City1–4L
26 Aug 2026ABradford City0–0D

Middlesbrough

WLWWW

12 Sep 2026HNorwich City4–3W
8 Sep 2026ACrystal Palace0–3L
5 Sep 2026AQueens Park Rangers1–0W
29 Aug 2026HWest Bromwich Albion3–1W
25 Aug 2026ADoncaster Rovers3–1W

English Championship standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	West Ham United	7	4	2	1	+11	14	WWWWD
2	Swansea City	7	4	2	1	+6	14	WLDWW
3	West Bromwich Albion	7	4	2	1	+3	14	DWWDL
4	Middlesbrough	6	4	1	1	+4	13	WWDWL
5	Queens Park Rangers	7	3	3	1	+3	12	DDLWW
6	Charlton Athletic	7	3	3	1	-1	12	DDLDW
7	Wolverhampton Wanderers	6	3	2	1	+4	11	WDLWW
8	Southampton	7	4	2	1	+10	10	WWDDW
9	Birmingham City	7	2	4	1	+1	10	WLDDW
10	Stoke City	7	3	1	3	0	10	WDWWL
11	Bristol City	6	3	1	2	-1	10	LWWWD
12	Norwich City	7	3	0	4	0	9	LWWLW
13	Millwall	6	3	0	3	0	9	LWLLW
14	Sheffield United	7	2	3	2	-1	9	LWLWD
15	Blackburn Rovers	7	2	2	3	0	8	WLLDL
16	Lincoln City	6	2	2	2	-1	8	WDDWL
17	Watford	7	2	2	3	-2	8	LWLLD
18	Portsmouth	6	2	1	3	-1	7	DWLLW
19	Wrexham	7	1	4	2	-4	7	LDDWL
20	Bolton Wanderers	7	2	1	4	-5	7	WLLLL
21	Cardiff City	7	0	4	3	-4	4	LDLLD
22	Derby County	7	1	1	5	-7	4	LLLWL
23	Preston North End	7	1	0	6	-7	3	LLWLL
24	Burnley	7	0	3	4	-8	3	LDLDL

Match information: Burnley v Middlesbrough

Kick-off: Wed 2 Sep · 19:00
Competition: English Championship
Round: 4
Venue: Turf Moor
City: Burnley
Surface: grass
Capacity: 22,546