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Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough

Carabao Cup
Doncaster Rovers
1:3
Full time
Middlesbrough

Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough in Carabao Cup ended 1:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Middlesbrough at 39.8% - the match finished 1:3, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Doncaster Rovers X 2 · Middlesbrough Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 37.5% 29.5% 33.0% Home win · Doncaster Rovers ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 30.7% 29.6% 39.8% Away win · Middlesbrough ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Middlesbrough ✔ Correct
Final score 1:3 Away win · Middlesbrough
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 5.28 on a Doncaster Rovers win, 4.21 on the draw and 1.57 on a Middlesbrough win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Doncaster Rovers win 5.28 5.59 Pinnacle 18.9% 30.7%
Draw 4.21 4.45 Marathonbet 23.8% 29.6%
Middlesbrough win 1.57 1.65 Betano 63.7% 39.8%
Over 2.5 goals 1.64 1.67 10Bet 61% 51%
Under 2.5 goals 2.20 2.32 Pinnacle 45.5% 49%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.69 1.73 Betfair 59.2% 48.2%
Both teams to score - No 2.07 2.10 10Bet 48.3% 51.8%
Updated: 25.08.2026 14:53 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough

  1. 26′R. Gotts · Yellow card
  2. 34′K. Joseph · Goal (assist: J. Sarmiento)
  3. 45+1′M. Peart-Harris · Yellow card
  4. 46′J. Sterry · Substitution (off: O. Bailey)
  5. 46′Neto Borges · Yellow card
  6. 57′M. Arfsten · Substitution (off: C. Brittain)
  7. 57′S. Berhalter · Substitution (off: A. Morris)
  8. 60′H. Adelakun · Substitution (off: L. Ayinde)
  9. 68′R. Gotts · Substitution (off: G. Broadbent)
  10. 68′A. May · Substitution (off: B. Hanlan)
  11. 68′B. McCann · Substitution (off: J. Thomas)
  12. 72′A. Jones · Substitution (off: A. Phillips)
  13. 72′K. Joseph · Substitution (off: W. Lankshear)
  14. 77′G. Broadbent · Yellow card
  15. 78′W. Lankshear · Goal
  16. 84′M. Whittaker · Substitution (off: D. Strelec)
  17. 87′J. Sarmiento · Goal (assist: A. Phillips)
  18. 90+2′I. Hutchinson · Goal (assist: J. Senior)

Match statistics: Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough

Statistic Doncaster Rovers Middlesbrough
Possession 34% 66%
Shots on target 5 8
Total shots 12 24
Shots off target 3 11
Blocked shots 4 5
Corners 1 7
Fouls 13 16
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 2 2
Saves 5 4
Passes 295 589
Pass accuracy 79% 89%

Line-ups: Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough

Doncaster Rovers 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 Jamie Sterry 6.7
  2. 6 Jay McGrath 6.0
  3. 10 Alfie May 6.7
  4. 20 Darren Robinson 6.9
  5. 21 Isaac Hutchinson 7.6
  6. 22 Robbie Gotts 7.2
  7. 23 Jack Senior 6.9
  8. 25 Bayley McCann 7.0
  9. 27 Sean Grehan 6.5
  10. 42 Josh Clarke 6.2
  11. 47 Hakeeb Adelakun 6.6
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 Tommy Simkin
  2. 4 Owen Bailey 6.3
  3. 8 George Broadbent 6.3
  4. 9 Brandon Hanlan 6.3
  5. 11 Leon Ayinde 6.6
  6. 12 Neill Byrne
  7. 19 Jordan Thomas 6.3
  8. 39 Lincoln Pawlak
  9. 48 Ashton Swales

Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 5 Alfie Jones 7.0
  2. 6 Sebastian Berhalter 6.6
  3. 11 Morgan Whittaker 6.7
  4. 12 Luke Ayling 7.5
  5. 14 Myles Peart-Harris 7.7
  6. 16 Jeremy Sarmiento 7.6
  7. 17 Maximilian Arfsten 7.2
  8. 19 Leo Castledine 6.3
  9. 22 Kyle Joseph 7.5
  10. 30 Neto Borges 7.0
  11. 31 Solomon Brynn 7.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 Radek Vitek
  2. 2 Callum Brittain 6.2
  3. 4 Ashley Phillips 6.6
  4. 7 Will Lankshear 7.7
  5. 8 Riley McGree
  6. 10 Aidan Morris 7.3
  7. 13 David Strelec 6.3
  8. 42 Abdoulaye Kanté
  9. 46 Finlay Cartwright

Form and head-to-head: Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough

Doncaster Rovers

LLLDD

Middlesbrough

WLWDW

Carabao Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough

G. McCann
Doncaster RoversManagerG. McCann
K. Hellberg
MiddlesbroughManagerK. Hellberg

Match information: Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough

Kick-off
·
Competition
Carabao Cup