Burnley v Notts County in Carabao Cup The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Burnley v Notts County
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Burnley at 54.8% - the match finished 1:1 (decided on penalties), so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Burnley
X
2 · Notts County
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
31.3%
28.6%
40.1%
Away win · Notts County
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
54.8%
33.2%
12.0%
Home win · Burnley
✘ Missed
Final score
1:1 (decided on penalties)
Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Match events: Burnley v Notts County
24′🟨James Gibbons · Yellow card
42′⚽Callum Roberts · Goal (assist: Nick Tsaroulla)
47′⚽Zian Flemming · Goal (assist: Marcus Edwards)
66′🔄Emile Acquah · Substitution (off: Lee Ndlovu)
66′🔄Conor Grant · Substitution (off: Oliver Cooper)