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Luton Town v Notts County

English League One
Luton Town
2:2
Full time
Notts County

Luton Town v Notts County in English League One ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Luton Town v Notts County

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Luton Town at 54.2% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Luton Town X 2 · Notts County Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 51.4% 23.6% 25.0% Home win · Luton Town ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 54.2% 21.4% 24.4% Home win · Luton Town ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Luton Town ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.60 on a Luton Town win, 3.99 on the draw and 5.08 on a Notts County win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Luton Town win 1.60 1.63 10Bet 62.5% 54.2%
Draw 3.99 4.23 Pinnacle 25.1% 21.4%
Notts County win 5.08 5.51 Pinnacle 19.7% 24.4%
Over 2.5 goals 1.70 1.75 Betano 58.8% 65.5%
Under 2.5 goals 2.09 2.19 Pinnacle 47.8% 34.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.72 1.75 Bet365 58.1% 62.9%
Both teams to score - No 2.00 2.10 Betfair 50% 37.1%
Updated: 22.08.2026 08:40 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Luton Town v Notts County

  1. 18′J. Clark · Substitution (off: G. Kodua)
  2. 31′L. Smyth · Yellow card
  3. 32′G. Johnston · Yellow card
  4. 39′S. Robertson · Yellow card
  5. 42′N. Wells · Penalty
  6. 45′K. Naismith · Yellow card
  7. 45+1′C. Roberts · Goal
  8. 47′K. Palmer · Yellow card
  9. 56′N. Wells · Yellow card
  10. 61′O. Cooper · Goal (assist: N. Tsaroulla)
  11. 62′E. Lawrence · Substitution (off: B. Benagr)
  12. 62′N. Wells · Substitution (off: C. Marshall)
  13. 62′L. Smyth · Substitution (off: C. Grant)
  14. 68′C. Marshall · Goal (assist: K. Palmer)
  15. 72′S. Robertson · Substitution (off: H. Mustapha)
  16. 73′N. Tsaroulla · Substitution (off: I. Samuels-Smith)
  17. 73′C. Roberts · Substitution (off: L. Ndlovu)
  18. 80′I. Jones · Substitution (off: H. Ashby)

Match statistics: Luton Town v Notts County

Statistic Luton Town Notts County
Possession 66% 34%
Shots on target 1 1
Total shots 1 1
Shots off target 0 0
Blocked shots 0 0
Corners 2 1
Fouls 3 6
Saves 1 1
Passes 115 59
Pass accuracy 83% 75%

Line-ups: Luton Town v Notts County

Luton Town 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 Kal Naismith 6.3
  2. 5 Mads Andersen 6.6
  3. 6 George Johnston 6.7
  4. 7 Jake Richards 6.6
  5. 8 Liam Walsh 6.5
  6. 11 Emilio Lawrence 7.0
  7. 18 Jordan Clark 6.5
  8. 21 Nahki Wells 6.2
  9. 24 Josh Keeley 6.5
  10. 25 Isaiah Jones 6.7
  11. 45 Kasey Palmer 6.5
Substitutes (7)
  1. 1 James Shea
  2. 2 Hakeem Odofin
  3. 9 Callum Marshall
  4. 12 Joe Johnson
  5. 30 Gideon Kodua 6.7
  6. 31 Benedict Benagr
  7. 33 Harrison Ashby

Notts County 5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 James Belshaw 6.6
  2. 2 James Gibbons 6.9
  3. 4 Jacob Bedeau 6.7
  4. 7 Callum Roberts 6.6
  5. 8 Oliver Cooper 6.7
  6. 12 Lucas Ness 6.9
  7. 14 Darius Lipsiuc 6.5
  8. 15 Jack Evans 6.5
  9. 19 Luka Smyth 6.6
  10. 20 Scott Robertson 6.3
  11. 25 Nick Tsaroulla 6.3
Substitutes (7)
  1. 11 Conor Grant
  2. 17 Qamaruddin Kouhyar
  3. 21 Harry Griffiths
  4. 26 Ishé Samuels-Smith
  5. 39 Lee Ndlovu
  6. 42 Hindolo Mustapha
  7. 44 Matthew Baker

Form and head-to-head: Luton Town v Notts County

Luton Town

LDWLL

Notts County

LDDWD

English League One standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Sheffield Wednesday 6 4 1 1 +7 13 DWWWL
2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 0 +6 12 DDWWD
3 Bradford City 6 4 0 2 +2 12 WWLLW
4 Cambridge United 6 3 2 1 +2 11 WDWLD
5 Oxford United 5 3 1 1 +6 10 WWLWD
6 Plymouth Argyle 6 3 1 2 +2 10 WWLWD
7 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 1 2 -2 10 WWLWD
8 Stockport County 6 3 0 3 +6 9 LWLWL
9 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 +4 9 WWDDL
10 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 +2 8 DLLWW
11 Burton Albion 6 2 2 2 0 8 LDWLW
12 Luton Town 6 2 2 2 -1 8 LDWLD
13 Leicester City 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WLWDL
14 Reading 5 2 1 2 +5 7 LWWDL
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 +3 7 LDWLW
16 Notts County 6 1 4 1 0 7 LDDWD
17 Mansfield Town 6 2 1 3 -3 7 DLLWL
18 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LLWWD
19 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 -4 6 WDLLD
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 0 5 1 -2 5 DDLDD
21 Peterborough United 6 1 2 3 -6 5 DLDLW
22 Bromley 6 1 2 3 -11 5 DLLLD
23 Wigan 6 1 1 4 -6 4 DLWLL
24 Doncaster Rovers 6 0 3 3 -3 3 LLDDD

Managers: Luton Town v Notts County

J. Wilshere
Luton TownManagerJ. Wilshere
M. Paterson
Notts CountyManagerM. Paterson

Match information: Luton Town v Notts County

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League One
Round
Regular Season – 2
City
Luton
Surface
grass
Capacity
12,027