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Cardiff City v Stoke City

English Championship
Cardiff City
1:1
Full time
Stoke City

Cardiff City v Stoke City in English Championship The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Cardiff City v Stoke City

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Cardiff City at 42.0% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Cardiff City X 2 · Stoke City Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 46.2% 27.9% 25.9% Home win · Cardiff City ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 42.0% 25.7% 32.2% Home win · Cardiff City ✘ Missed
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Cardiff City ✘ Missed
Final score 1:1 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.14 on a Cardiff City win, 3.54 on the draw and 3.05 on a Stoke City win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Cardiff City win 2.14 2.16 1xBet 46.7% 42%
Draw 3.54 3.62 Marathonbet 28.2% 25.7%
Stoke City win 3.05 3.10 William Hill 32.8% 32.2%
Over 2.5 goals 1.66 1.67 Marathonbet 60.2% 59.7%
Under 2.5 goals 2.14 2.17 Marathonbet 46.7% 40.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.54 1.55 William Hill 64.9% 57.6%
Both teams to score - No 2.30 2.32 1xBet 43.5% 42.4%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:24 · Average odds across 4 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Cardiff City v Stoke City

  1. 22′Ben Johnson · Goal (assist: Róbert Boženík)
  2. 27′Ben Wilmot · Yellow card
  3. 45+2′Perry Tian Hee Ng · Yellow card
  4. 59′Luca Bombino · Substitution (off: Eric Junior Bocat)
  5. 59′George Hirst · Substitution (off: Bae Jun-ho)
  6. 63′Joel Colwill · Goal (assist: Christopher Willock)
  7. 69′Justin Devenny · Substitution (off: Lamine Cissé)
  8. 69′Róbert Boženík · Substitution (off: Jack Mcglynn)
  9. 81′Luke Graham · Yellow card
  10. 82′Christopher Willock · Substitution (off: C. Ashford)

Match statistics: Cardiff City v Stoke City

Statistic Cardiff City Stoke City
Possession 71% 29%
Shots on target 6 4
Total shots 26 12
Shots off target 12 5
Blocked shots 8 3
Corners 7 5
Fouls 5 19
Offsides 2 4
Yellow cards 1 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 3 5
Passes 561 230

Line-ups: Cardiff City v Stoke City

Cardiff City 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 N. Trott 7.0
  2. 3 J. Bagan 7.0
  3. 4 G. Osho 7.1
  4. 5 K. Bielik 7.3
  5. 8 J. Moylan 6.9
  6. 9 Y. Salech 6.3
  7. 11 O. Tanner 6.0
  8. 16 C. Willock 7.7
  9. 18 A. Robertson 7.2
  10. 27 J. Colwill 8.1
  11. 38 P. Ng 6.8
Substitutes (9)
  1. 14 D. Turnbull
  2. 23 C. Scanlon
  3. 30 H. Tyrer
  4. 33 R. Tankiewicz
  5. 40 N. Anyadike
  6. 43 P. Moreno
  7. 44 R. Kpakio
  8. 45 Cian Ashford 6.5
  9. 47 C. Robinson

Stoke City 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 V. Johansson 7.3
  2. 2 B. Johnson 7.7
  3. 5 L. Graham 6.2
  4. 8 E. Galbraith 6.8
  5. 9 R. Boženík 7.2
  6. 13 J. Devenny 6.3
  7. 15 G. Hirst 6.9
  8. 16 B. Wilmot 6.1
  9. 21 L. Bombino 7.1
  10. 27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré 6.5
  11. 40 M. Talovierov 6.8
Substitutes (9)
  1. 4 B. Pearson
  2. 7 J. McGlynn 6.4
  3. 10 Bae Jun-Ho 6.6
  4. 11 L. Cissé 6.5
  5. 17 E. Bocat 6.6
  6. 19 T. Rigo
  7. 24 J. Griffiths
  8. 42 M. Manhoef
  9. 43 F. Anderson

Form and head-to-head: Cardiff City v Stoke City

Cardiff City

LLLDL

Stoke City

WWWLD

English Championship standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 +11 14 WWWWD
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WLDWW
3 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 +3 14 DWWDL
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWL
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 +3 12 DDLWW
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 -1 12 DDLDW
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 3 2 1 +4 11 WDLWW
8 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 10 WWDDW
9 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 +1 10 WLDDW
10 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 0 10 WDWWL
11 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 -1 10 LWWWD
12 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 0 9 LWWLW
13 Millwall 6 3 0 3 0 9 LWLLW
14 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 -1 9 LWLWD
15 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 0 8 WLLDL
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WDDWL
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 -2 8 LWLLD
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 7 DWLLW
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 7 LDDWL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLLLL
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 -4 4 LDLLD
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLLWL
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 -7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 3 LDLDL

Managers: Cardiff City v Stoke City

B. Barry-Murphy
Cardiff CityManagerB. Barry-Murphy
M. Robins
Stoke CityManagerM. Robins

Match information: Cardiff City v Stoke City

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Championship
Round
6
City
Cardiff
Surface
grass
Capacity
33,280