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Stoke City v Hull City

Carabao Cup
Stoke City
1:1
Full time
Hull City

Stoke City v Hull City in Carabao Cup The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Stoke City v Hull City

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Hull City at 51.9% - the match finished 1:1 (decided on penalties), so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Stoke City X 2 · Hull City Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 28.3% 28.0% 43.7% Away win · Hull City ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 20.1% 28.0% 51.9% Away win · Hull City ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Stoke City ✘ Missed
Final score 1:1 (decided on penalties) Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.80 on a Stoke City win, 3.23 on the draw and 2.52 on a Hull City win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Stoke City win 2.80 2.90 Dafabet 35.7% 20.1%
Draw 3.23 3.30 Betfair 31% 28%
Hull City win 2.52 2.62 Marathonbet 39.7% 51.9%
Over 2.5 goals 2.03 2.09 SBO 49.3% 40.8%
Under 2.5 goals 1.76 1.80 10Bet 56.8% 59.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.76 1.80 Betfair 56.8% 41.6%
Both teams to score - No 1.97 2.00 10Bet 50.8% 58.4%
Updated: 25.08.2026 14:53 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Stoke City v Hull City

  1. 39′R. Bozenik · Goal (assist: S. Thomas)
  2. 45′K. Dowell · Goal (assist: L. Millar)
  3. 46′E. Galbraith · Substitution (off: D. Soumare)
  4. 59′J. Hjerto-Dahl · Substitution (off: H. Morita)
  5. 63′R. Bozenik · Substitution (off: G. Hirst)
  6. 64′M. Manhoef · Substitution (off: S. Gallagher)
  7. 64′B. Johnson · Substitution (off: B. Lawal)
  8. 77′M. Targett · Substitution (off: E. Stroud)
  9. 77′A. Omur · Substitution (off: M. Belloumi)
  10. 81′K. Dowell · Substitution (off: T. Sellars-Fleming)
  11. 81′B. Akintola · Substitution (off: R. Slater)
  12. 81′L. Giani · Substitution (off: F. Anderson)
  13. 82′L. Herrington · Yellow card
  14. 90+5′G. Hirst · Yellow card
  15. 120+1′S. Thomas · Penalty
  16. 120+1′H. Morita · Penalty
  17. 120+2′S. Gallagher · Penalty
  18. 120+2′P. McNair · Penalty
  19. 120+3′B. Lawal · Penalty
  20. 120+3′E. Stroud · Penalty
  21. 120+4′G. Hirst · Penalty missed
  22. 120+4′L. Millar · Penalty
  23. 120+5′D. Soumare · Penalty
  24. 120+5′M. Belloumi · Penalty

Match statistics: Stoke City v Hull City

Statistic Stoke City Hull City
Possession 44% 56%
Shots on target 4 6
Total shots 10 18
Shots off target 5 8
Blocked shots 1 4
Corners 1 4
Fouls 12 5
Offsides 1 2
Yellow cards 1 1
Saves 5 3
Passes 435 563
Pass accuracy 84% 88%

Line-ups: Stoke City v Hull City

Stoke City 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 Ben Johnson 6.9
  2. 4 Ben Pearson 6.9
  3. 5 Luke Graham 6.3
  4. 7 Sorba Thomas 7.3
  5. 8 Ethan Galbraith 6.6
  6. 9 Róbert Boženík 7.5
  7. 16 Ben Wilmot 6.7
  8. 19 Tomáš Rigo 6.3
  9. 24 Joshua Griffiths 7.9
  10. 42 Million Manhoef 7.2
  11. 52 Laurence Giani 6.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 10 Jun-Ho Bae
  2. 15 George Hirst 6.3
  3. 18 Bosun Lawal 6.7
  4. 20 Sam Gallagher 6.6
  5. 27 Djibril Soumaré 6.9
  6. 34 Frank Fielding
  7. 43 Freddie Anderson 6.7
  8. 58 Tyler Martin
  9. 59 Gabriel Kelly

Hull City 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 7 Liam Millar 7.0
  2. 12 Dillon Phillips 6.5
  3. 14 Jens Hjertø-Dahl 6.5
  4. 17 Paddy McNair 6.9
  5. 18 Cody Drameh 7.0
  6. 22 Lucas Herrington 6.9
  7. 23 Matt Targett 7.0
  8. 26 Kieran Dowell 8.5
  9. 29 Lucas Gourna-Douath 6.7
  10. 30 David Akintola 6.9
  11. 33 Abdülkadir Ömür 6.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 3 Ryan Giles
  2. 5 Hidemasa Morita 6.6
  3. 10 Mohamed Belloumi 6.3
  4. 15 John Egan
  5. 19 Konstantinos Tzolakis
  6. 21 Elliot Stroud 6.6
  7. 27 Regan Slater 6.3
  8. 32 Nobel Mendy
  9. 41 Tyrell Sellars-Fleming 6.2

Form and head-to-head: Stoke City v Hull City

Stoke City

WDWWL

Hull City

DLDWW

Head-to-head – last 2 meetings

Stoke City wins: 1; draws: 0; Hull City wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Hull City 0–1 Stoke City English Championship
Stoke City 1–2 Hull City English Championship

Carabao Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Stoke City v Hull City

M. Robins
Stoke CityManagerM. Robins
S. Jakirović
Hull CityManagerS. Jakirović

Match information: Stoke City v Hull City

Kick-off
·
Competition
Carabao Cup
City
Stoke
Surface
grass
Capacity
30,089