Wolverhampton Wanderers v Stoke City

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Stoke City in English Championship ended 4:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Wolverhampton Wanderers v Stoke City

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Wolverhampton Wanderers at 48.6% - the match finished 4:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Wolverhampton Wanderers X 2 · Stoke City Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 51.9% 25.9% 22.2% Home win · Wolverhampton Wanderers ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 48.6% 27.7% 23.7% Home win · Wolverhampton Wanderers ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Wolverhampton Wanderers ✔ Correct
Final score 4:1 Home win · Wolverhampton Wanderers
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.53 on a Wolverhampton Wanderers win, 4.19 on the draw and 5.78 on a Stoke City win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Wolverhampton Wanderers win 1.53 1.57 Pinnacle 65.4% 48.6%
Draw 4.19 4.40 Dafabet 23.9% 27.7%
Stoke City win 5.78 6.10 Unibet 17.3% 23.7%
Over 2.5 goals 1.75 1.81 Pinnacle 57.1% 56.8%
Under 2.5 goals 2.07 2.11 SBO 48.3% 43.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.82 1.87 Betfair 54.9% 57.6%
Both teams to score - No 1.90 1.93 10Bet 52.6% 42.4%
Updated: 29.08.2026 10:03 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Wolverhampton Wanderers v Stoke City

  1. 2′Sam Gallagher · Goal
  2. 15′Bae Jun-ho · Yellow card
  3. 19′Rodrigo Gomes · Goal
  4. 22′Rodrigo Gomes · Goal
  5. 31′Bosun Lawal · Yellow card
  6. 39′Mateus Mane · Yellow card
  7. 45′Sam Gallagher · Yellow card

Match statistics: Wolverhampton Wanderers v Stoke City

Statistic Wolverhampton Wanderers Stoke City
Possession 57% 43%
Shots on target 4 3
Total shots 8 6
Shots off target 1 2
Blocked shots 3 1
Corners 1 1
Fouls 9 10
Yellow cards 1 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 2
Passes 210 156

Line-ups: Wolverhampton Wanderers v Stoke City

Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 José Sá 6.6
  2. 3 Hugo Bueno 6.4
  3. 5 M. Munetsi 6.4
  4. 7 André 6.8
  5. 9 R. Jiménez 7.0
  6. 21 Rodrigo Gomes 8.7
  7. 24 Toti Gomes 6.8
  8. 28 Fer López 7.1
  9. 34 N. Djiga 6.7
  10. 36 M. Mane 5.9
  11. 38 J. Tchatchoua 6.4
Substitutes (9)
  1. 4 S. Bueno
  2. 6 D. Møller Wolfe
  3. 8 J. James
  4. 10 A. Armstrong
  5. 12 B. Traoré
  6. 13 João Virgínia
  7. 17 Pedro Lima
  8. 20 T. Doyle
  9. 23 T. Chirewa

Stoke City 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 V. Johansson 6.2
  2. 2 B. Johnson 6.8
  3. 7 S. Thomas 6.0
  4. 8 E. Galbraith 6.4
  5. 10 Bae Jun-Ho 5.9
  6. 15 G. Hirst 6.1
  7. 16 B. Wilmot 6.5
  8. 17 E. Bocat 6.1
  9. 18 B. Lawal 5.8
  10. 20 S. Gallagher 7.6
  11. 27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré 6.0
Substitutes (7)
  1. 4 B. Pearson
  2. 5 L. Graham
  3. 9 R. Boženík
  4. 19 T. Rigo
  5. 24 J. Griffiths
  6. 42 M. Manhoef
  7. 43 F. Anderson

Form and head-to-head: Wolverhampton Wanderers v Stoke City

Wolverhampton Wanderers

WDLWW

Stoke City

WDWWD

English Championship standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 +11 14 WWWWD
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WLDWW
3 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 +3 14 DWWDL
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWL
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 +3 12 DDLWW
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 -1 12 DDLDW
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 3 2 1 +4 11 WDLWW
8 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 10 WWDDW
9 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 +1 10 WLDDW
10 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 0 10 WDWWL
11 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 -1 10 LWWWD
12 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 0 9 LWWLW
13 Millwall 6 3 0 3 0 9 LWLLW
14 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 -1 9 LWLWD
15 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 0 8 WLLDL
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WDDWL
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 -2 8 LWLLD
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 7 DWLLW
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 7 LDDWL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLLLL
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 -4 4 LDLLD
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLLWL
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 -7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 3 LDLDL

Match information: Wolverhampton Wanderers v Stoke City

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Championship
Round
3
City
Wolverhampton
Surface
grass
Capacity
32,050