Derby County v Lincoln City in Carabao Cup ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Derby County v Lincoln City
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Derby County at 59.1% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Derby County
X
2 · Lincoln City
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
45.7%
27.2%
27.1%
Home win · Derby County
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
59.1%
18.1%
22.8%
Home win · Derby County
✘ Missed
Final score
1:2
Away win · Lincoln City
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Match events: Derby County v Lincoln City
3′⚽Ben House · Goal (assist: Ivan Varfolomeev)
23′⚽Dom Jefferies · Goal (assist: Freddie Draper)
32′🟨Adam Reach · Yellow card
35′🟨Lewis Travis · Yellow card
45+1′⚽Sammie Szmodics · Goal
46′🔄Dion Sanderson · Substitution (off: Matt Clarke)
48′🟨Ben House · Yellow card
63′🔄Filip Bilbija · Substitution (off: Oscar Fraulo)
63′🔄Craig Forsyth · Substitution (off: Charlie Taylor)