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Mansfield Town v Luton Town

English League One
Mansfield Town
5:2
Full time
Luton Town

Mansfield Town v Luton Town in English League One ended 5:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Mansfield Town v Luton Town

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Luton Town at 43.5% - the match finished 5:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Mansfield Town X 2 · Luton Town Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 43.7% 26.1% 30.3% Home win · Mansfield Town ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 34.4% 22.1% 43.5% Away win · Luton Town ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Mansfield Town ✔ Correct
Final score 5:2 Home win · Mansfield Town
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.76 on a Mansfield Town win, 3.54 on the draw and 2.33 on a Luton Town win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Mansfield Town win 2.76 2.90 Bet365 36.2% 34.4%
Draw 3.54 3.80 Betfair 28.2% 22.1%
Luton Town win 2.33 2.43 Pinnacle 42.9% 43.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.59 1.62 Betano 62.9% 68.3%
Under 2.5 goals 2.30 2.41 Pinnacle 43.5% 31.7%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.49 1.53 Bet365 67.1% 64.6%
Both teams to score - No 2.45 2.55 Betfair 40.8% 35.4%
Updated: 30.08.2026 04:08 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Mansfield Town v Luton Town

  1. 8′L. Reed · Yellow card
  2. 17′N. Moriah-Welsh · Goal (assist: J. Russell)
  3. 26′I. Jones · Yellow card
  4. 28′N. Moriah-Welsh · Goal (assist: R. Hendry)
  5. 45′L. Reed · Goal (assist: N. Moriah-Welsh)
  6. 45+2′R. Sweeney · Yellow card

Match statistics: Mansfield Town v Luton Town

Statistic Mansfield Town Luton Town
Possession 54% 46%
Shots on target 3 1
Total shots 10 2
Shots off target 3 1
Blocked shots 4 0
Corners 3 0
Fouls 4 2
Offsides 1 0
Yellow cards 1 1
Saves 1 1
Passes 181 161
Pass accuracy 81% 78%

Line-ups: Mansfield Town v Luton Town

Mansfield Town 3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 Liam Roberts 6.7
  2. 2 Kyle Knoyle 6.9
  3. 3 Stephen McLaughlin 6.6
  4. 5 Ryan Sweeney 6.7
  5. 13 Jon Russell 7.2
  6. 14 Michael Smith 6.6
  7. 16 Liam Thompson 6.9
  8. 22 Nathan Moriah-Welsh 9.3
  9. 23 Adedeji Oshilaja 6.7
  10. 24 Regan Hendry 7.2
  11. 25 Louis Reed 6.3
Substitutes (7)
  1. 4 Elliott Hewitt
  2. 7 Lucas Akins
  3. 8 Luke Bolton
  4. 17 David McGoldrick
  5. 18 Rhys Oates
  6. 20 Frazer Blake-Tracy
  7. 39 Owen Dodgson

Luton Town 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 Hakeem Odofin 7.0
  2. 3 Kal Naismith 6.3
  3. 6 George Johnston 6.2
  4. 7 Jake Richards 6.2
  5. 8 Liam Walsh 6.5
  6. 9 Callum Marshall 6.3
  7. 10 Jamie Donley 6.2
  8. 11 Emilio Lawrence 6.0
  9. 24 Josh Keeley 5.6
  10. 25 Isaiah Jones 6.5
  11. 45 Kasey Palmer 6.0
Substitutes (7)
  1. 1 James Shea
  2. 5 Mads Andersen
  3. 12 Joe Johnson
  4. 21 Nahki Wells
  5. 30 Gideon Kodua
  6. 31 Benedict Benagr
  7. 33 Harrison Ashby

Form and head-to-head: Mansfield Town v Luton Town

Mansfield Town

DLLLL

Luton Town

LDWLD

English League One standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Sheffield Wednesday 6 4 1 1 +7 13 DWWWL
2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 0 +6 12 DDWWD
3 Bradford City 6 4 0 2 +2 12 WWLLW
4 Cambridge United 6 3 2 1 +2 11 WDWLD
5 Oxford United 5 3 1 1 +6 10 WWLWD
6 Plymouth Argyle 6 3 1 2 +2 10 WWLWD
7 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 1 2 -2 10 WWLWD
8 Stockport County 6 3 0 3 +6 9 LWLWL
9 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 +4 9 WWDDL
10 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 +2 8 DLLWW
11 Burton Albion 6 2 2 2 0 8 LDWLW
12 Luton Town 6 2 2 2 -1 8 LDWLD
13 Leicester City 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WLWDL
14 Reading 5 2 1 2 +5 7 LWWDL
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 +3 7 LDWLW
16 Notts County 6 1 4 1 0 7 LDDWD
17 Mansfield Town 6 2 1 3 -3 7 DLLWL
18 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LLWWD
19 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 -4 6 WDLLD
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 0 5 1 -2 5 DDLDD
21 Peterborough United 6 1 2 3 -6 5 DLDLW
22 Bromley 6 1 2 3 -11 5 DLLLD
23 Wigan 6 1 1 4 -6 4 DLWLL
24 Doncaster Rovers 6 0 3 3 -3 3 LLDDD

Managers: Mansfield Town v Luton Town

N. Clough
Mansfield TownManagerN. Clough
J. Wilshere
Luton TownManagerJ. Wilshere

Match information: Mansfield Town v Luton Town

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League One
Round
Regular Season – 3