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Minnesota United v Atlanta United

Major League Soccer
Minnesota United
1:2
Full time
Atlanta United

Minnesota United v Atlanta United in Major League Soccer ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Minnesota United v Atlanta United

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Minnesota United at 49.2% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Minnesota United X 2 · Atlanta United Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 61.1% 21.7% 17.2% Home win · Minnesota United ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 49.2% 25.0% 25.9% Home win · Minnesota United ✘ Missed
Final score 1:2 Away win · Atlanta United
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.64 on a Minnesota United win, 4.13 on the draw and 4.79 on a Atlanta United win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Minnesota United win 1.64 1.68 Dafabet 61% 49.2%
Draw 4.13 4.30 Pinnacle 24.2% 25%
Atlanta United win 4.79 5.10 Betano 20.9% 25.9%
Over 2.5 goals 1.58 1.64 SBO 63.3% 52%
Under 2.5 goals 2.34 2.44 Pinnacle 42.7% 48.1%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.60 1.65 Betfair 62.5% 51.3%
Both teams to score - No 2.23 2.25 10Bet 44.8% 48.7%
Updated: 19.08.2026 21:54 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Minnesota United v Atlanta United

  1. 18′J. Alonso · Yellow card
  2. 29′M. Boxall · Yellow card
  3. 32′J. Pereyra · Yellow card
  4. 37′T. Jacob · Goal
  5. 46′A. Gill · Yellow card
  6. 56′C. Sanchez · Yellow card
  7. 58′A. Markanich · Goal
  8. 64′F. Picault · Substitution (off: L. Brennan)
  9. 64′C. Sanchez · Substitution (off: S. Alzate)
  10. 68′B. Hlongwane · Substitution (off: M. Dieng)
  11. 68′M. Caldeira · Substitution (off: A. Jackson)
  12. 75′T. Chancalay · Yellow card
  13. 78′T. Muyumba · Goal (assist: A. Miranchuk)
  14. 79′A. Miranchuk · Substitution (off: M. Edwards)
  15. 80′T. Chancalay · Substitution (off: K. Yeboah)
  16. 80′W. Trapp · Substitution (off: M. Gonzalez)
  17. 85′A. Gill · Substitution (off: E. Mihaj)
  18. 85′T. Muyumba · Substitution (off: P. Diaz)
  19. 87′O. Gene · Yellow card

Match statistics: Minnesota United v Atlanta United

Statistic Minnesota United Atlanta United
Possession 50% 50%
Shots on target 4 3
Total shots 11 10
Shots off target 7 4
Blocked shots 0 3
Corners 4 2
Fouls 12 10
Offsides 3 2
Yellow cards 3 3
Saves 1 3
Passes 396 400
Pass accuracy 78% 78%

Line-ups: Minnesota United v Atlanta United

Minnesota United 3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 8 Tomás Chancalay 6.2
  2. 12 Drake Callender 6.7
  3. 13 Anthony Markanich 7.2
  4. 15 Michael Boxall 6.3
  5. 20 Wil Trapp 6.9
  6. 21 Bongokuhle Hlongwane 6.2
  7. 22 Marcus Caldeira 6.6
  8. 23 Morris Duggan 6.2
  9. 26 Joaquín Pereyra 7.2
  10. 28 Jefferson Díaz 6.3
  11. 30 Owen Gene 6.6
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 Alec Smir
  2. 2 Devin Padelford
  3. 3 Kyle Duncan
  4. 9 Kelvin Yeboah
  5. 16 Aziel Jackson 6.5
  6. 18 Mauricio González
  7. 24 Julian Gressel
  8. 29 Mamadou Dieng 6.6
  9. 67 Carlos Harvey

Atlanta United 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 Lucas Hoyos 7.3
  2. 3 Elías Báez 6.3
  3. 5 Stian Gregersen 7.0
  4. 6 Junior Alonso 6.9
  5. 8 Tristan Muyumba 7.6
  6. 10 Miguel Almirón 6.9
  7. 16 Adrian Gill 6.7
  8. 22 Fafà Picault 6.3
  9. 48 Cooper Sanchez 6.3
  10. 55 Tomás Jacob 7.7
  11. 59 Aleksey Miranchuk 6.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 Ronald Hernández
  2. 4 Enea Mihaj
  3. 7 Steven Alzate 6.7
  4. 19 Sergio Santos
  5. 20 Luke Brennan 6.5
  6. 27 Paulo Díaz
  7. 30 Cayman Togashi
  8. 42 Jayden Hibbert
  9. 47 Matthew Edwards

Form and head-to-head: Minnesota United v Atlanta United

Minnesota United

LLLDW

Atlanta United

DLDLW

Major League Soccer standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 13 9 2 2 +20 29 WWWWDDWLWW
1 Nashville SC 13 9 3 1 +19 30 WDWWWWDWWL
2 SJ Earthquakes 14 9 2 3 +17 29 WWWWDDLLWW
2 Inter Miami 14 8 4 2 +9 28 WDDWWLWLWD
3 New England 13 8 1 4 +5 25 LWWWWLWWLW
3 Real Salt Lake 13 8 1 4 +7 25 WLWLWWLWWW
4 Seattle Sounders 12 7 3 2 +7 24 WWWDDWLLDW
4 Chicago Fire 13 7 2 4 +10 23 WWLWWWDLLW
5 Dallas 14 6 4 4 +7 22 WDLDWLWWLW
5 New York City 14 5 4 5 +5 19 DWWLWWDLLD
6 Los Angeles FC 14 6 3 5 +6 21 WWWWDLWDLW
6 New York RB 14 5 4 5 -8 19 LLDLDLDLWW
7 Charlotte 14 5 3 6 0 18 WDWLLLDLDW
7 Minnesota United 14 6 3 5 -4 21 LLDWLLWLDW
8 DC United 14 4 5 5 -4 17 WDLLDDLDDW
8 Houston Dynamo 13 7 0 6 -4 21 WLLLWWWWLL
9 LA Galaxy 14 5 4 5 0 19 WWDLWDWLDL
9 Cincinnati 14 4 5 5 -5 17 LLDWDLDWWL
10 Toronto 13 3 5 5 -6 14 LLWDWWDDDL
10 San Diego 14 4 5 5 +5 17 LLDWDWDWWL
11 Orlando City 14 4 2 8 -17 14 LLLWWLDLDL
11 Colorado Rapids 14 5 1 8 +2 16 WLLWLWLWLW
12 Columbus Crew 14 3 4 7 -4 13 LDDLWWLDLW
12 Portland Timbers 13 4 2 7 -4 14 LWLDWWDLLL
13 Austin 14 3 5 6 -9 14 LDLLDLDDWD
13 CF Montréal 13 4 1 8 -9 13 WLLWLLLWLL
14 Atlanta United 13 3 2 8 -7 11 LLLLWLDWWL
14 St. Louis City 13 3 4 6 -7 13 DLLLWDDLWW
15 Sporting KC 13 3 2 8 -21 11 DDLWLLLWLL
15 Philadelphia Union 14 1 4 9 -10 7 LLLLLLLDDL

Managers: Minnesota United v Atlanta United

C. Knowles
Minnesota UnitedManagerC. Knowles
Gerardo Martino
Atlanta UnitedManagerGerardo Martino

Match information: Minnesota United v Atlanta United

Kick-off
·
Competition
Major League Soccer
City
Saint Paul
Surface
grass
Capacity
19,400