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Portland Timbers v Minnesota United

Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
5:4
Full time
Minnesota United

Portland Timbers v Minnesota United in Major League Soccer ended 5:4. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Portland Timbers v Minnesota United

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Portland Timbers at 44.7% - the match finished 5:4, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Portland Timbers X 2 · Minnesota United Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 50.8% 24.0% 25.2% Home win · Portland Timbers ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 44.7% 26.0% 29.3% Home win · Portland Timbers ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Minnesota United ✘ Missed
Final score 5:4 Home win · Portland Timbers
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.47 on a Portland Timbers win, 3.67 on the draw and 2.58 on a Minnesota United win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Portland Timbers win 2.47 2.55 Pinnacle 40.5% 44.7%
Draw 3.67 3.82 Pinnacle 27.2% 26%
Minnesota United win 2.58 2.63 Pinnacle 38.8% 29.3%
Over 2.5 goals 1.47 1.50 Pinnacle 68% 58.7%
Under 2.5 goals 2.54 2.60 BetVictor 39.4% 41.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.42 1.44 William Hill 70.4% 57.9%
Both teams to score - No 2.67 2.72 Marathonbet 37.5% 42.2%
Updated: 06.09.2026 04:50 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Portland Timbers v Minnesota United

  1. 11′Vincent Janssen · Penalty
  2. 20′Drake Callender · Own goal
  3. 24′Michael Boxall · Yellow card
  4. 26′Vincent Janssen · Goal (assist: David Da Costa)
  5. 32′Marcus Caldeira · Goal (assist: Joaquín Pereyra)
  6. 37′Jose Caicedo · Substitution (off: Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri)
  7. 37′Anthony Markanich · Goal (assist: Kelvin Yeboah)
  8. 45+7′Finn Surman · Yellow card
  9. 50′Marcus Caldeira · Goal
  10. 55′Vincent Janssen · Goal (assist: Ariel Lassiter)
  11. 68′Vincent Janssen · Substitution (off: Diego Chará)
  12. 69′Ariel Lassiter · Substitution (off: Antony)
  13. 71′Kristoffer Velde · Goal (assist: Antony)
  14. 72′Wil Trapp · Substitution (off: Nectarios Triantis)
  15. 72′Marcus Caldeira · Substitution (off: Tomás Chancalay)
  16. 74′Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño · Yellow card
  17. 78′Kelvin Yeboah · Substitution (off: Maurice Malone)
  18. 81′Eric Miller · Substitution (off: Joel Waterman)
  19. 82′David Da Costa · Substitution (off: Ian Smith)
  20. 88′Anthony Markanich · Substitution (off: Mauricio González Carabalí)
  21. 88′Owen Gene · Substitution (off: Carlos Harvey)
  22. 90+2′Tomás Chancalay · Goal (assist: Carlos Harvey)
  23. 90+6′Morris Duggan · Yellow card

Match statistics: Portland Timbers v Minnesota United

Statistic Portland Timbers Minnesota United
Possession 40% 60%
Shots on target 5 8
Total shots 11 17
Shots off target 4 7
Blocked shots 2 2
Corners 4 3
Fouls 12 18
Offsides 2 0
Yellow cards 1 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 4 1
Passes 546 535

Line-ups: Portland Timbers v Minnesota United

Portland Timbers 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 4 K. Miller 6.1
  2. 7 A. Lassiter 6.8
  3. 10 David Pereira da Costa 6.9
  4. 14 V. Janssen 9.7
  5. 15 E. Miller 6.0
  6. 17 C. Bassett 6.3
  7. 20 F. Surman 6.2
  8. 27 J. Fory 6.1
  9. 30 J. Caicedo 6.5
  10. 41 J. Pantemis 6.2
  11. 99 K. Velde 8.0
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 J. Waterman 5.7
  2. 6 A. Bonetig
  3. 11 Antony 7.0
  4. 21 D. Chará 5.9
  5. 22 O. Fernandez
  6. 23 Ian Smith 5.6
  7. 26 H. Sulte
  8. 80 J. Ortiz 6.5
  9. 88 Andrew Guerra

Minnesota United 3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 3 K. Duncan 6.3
  2. 9 K. Yeboah 7.1
  3. 12 D. Callender 5.3
  4. 13 A. Markanich 7.6
  5. 15 M. Boxall 5.6
  6. 20 W. Trapp 6.7
  7. 22 Marcus Caldeira 8.6
  8. 23 M. Duggan 5.5
  9. 26 J. Pereyra 7.3
  10. 28 J. Díaz 5.8
  11. 30 O. Gene 6.6
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 A. Smir
  2. 5 N. Romero
  3. 8 T. Chancalay 7.2
  4. 11 M. Malone 6.3
  5. 16 A. Jackson
  6. 18 M. Gonzalez 6.3
  7. 25 N. Triantis 5.5
  8. 33 K. Chandler
  9. 67 C. Harvey 6.2

Form and head-to-head: Portland Timbers v Minnesota United

Portland Timbers

LDLDW

Minnesota United

LLDWL

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Portland Timbers wins: 0; draws: 0; Minnesota United wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Minnesota United 2–0 Portland Timbers Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 13 9 2 2 +20 29 WWWWDDWLWW
2 SJ Earthquakes 14 9 2 3 +17 29 WWWWDDLLWW
3 Real Salt Lake 13 8 1 4 +7 25 WLWLWWLWWW
4 Seattle Sounders 12 7 3 2 +7 24 WWWDDWLLDW
5 Dallas 14 6 4 4 +7 22 WDLDWLWWLW
6 Los Angeles FC 14 6 3 5 +6 21 WWWWDLWDLW
7 Minnesota United 14 6 3 5 -4 21 LLDWLLWLDW
8 Houston Dynamo 13 7 0 6 -4 21 WLLLWWWWLL
9 LA Galaxy 14 5 4 5 0 19 WWDLWDWLDL
10 San Diego 14 4 5 5 +5 17 LLDWDWDWWL
11 Colorado Rapids 14 5 1 8 +2 16 WLLWLWLWLW
12 Portland Timbers 13 4 2 7 -4 14 LWLDWWDLLL
13 Austin 14 3 5 6 -9 14 LDLLDLDDWD
14 St. Louis City 13 3 4 6 -7 13 DLLLWDDLWW
15 Sporting KC 13 3 2 8 -21 11 DDLWLLLWLL

Managers: Portland Timbers v Minnesota United

Martí Cifuentes
Portland TimbersManagerMartí Cifuentes
C. Knowles
Minnesota UnitedManagerC. Knowles

Match information: Portland Timbers v Minnesota United

Kick-off
·
Competition
Major League Soccer
City
Portland
Surface
artificial turf
Capacity
25,218