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Minnesota United v Orlando City

Major League Soccer
Minnesota United
3:3
Full time
Orlando City

Minnesota United v Orlando City in Major League Soccer ended 3:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Minnesota United v Orlando City

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Minnesota United at 42.7% - the match finished 3:3, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Minnesota United X 2 · Orlando City Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 59.6% 21.7% 18.7% Home win · Minnesota United ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 42.7% 22.7% 34.6% Home win · Minnesota United ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Orlando City ✘ Missed
Final score 3:3 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.79 on a Minnesota United win, 4.04 on the draw and 3.88 on a Orlando City win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Minnesota United win 1.79 1.84 Dafabet 55.9% 42.7%
Draw 4.04 4.33 Betfair 24.8% 22.7%
Orlando City win 3.88 4.33 Bet365 25.8% 34.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.42 1.45 Pinnacle 70.4% 60.3%
Under 2.5 goals 2.79 2.88 Betfair 35.8% 39.7%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.42 1.44 Betfair 70.4% 59%
Both teams to score - No 2.67 2.72 Betano 37.5% 41%
Updated: 29.08.2026 22:06 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Minnesota United v Orlando City

  1. 28′D. Dike · Goal
  2. 32′A. Markanich · Yellow card
  3. 46′D. Callender · Substitution (off: A. Smir)
  4. 54′A. Griezmann · Yellow card
  5. 59′D. Dike · Substitution (off: H. Sarajian)
  6. 59′J. Gerbet · Substitution (off: Luis Otavio)
  7. 64′A. Griezmann · Goal (assist: J. Ellis)
  8. 66′M. Boxall · Yellow card
  9. 72′M. Caldeira · Goal (assist: K. Yeboah)
  10. 73′M. Caldeira · Substitution (off: N. Triantis)
  11. 73′W. Trapp · Substitution (off: M. Gonzalez)
  12. 74′J. Ellis · Substitution (off: T. Spicer)
  13. 74′A. Markanich · Goal (assist: J. Pereyra)
  14. 76′K. Yeboah · Goal
  15. 81′Z. Taifi · Substitution (off: M. Ojeda)
  16. 81′E. Atuesta · Substitution (off: M. Pasalic)
  17. 85′K. Yeboah · Substitution (off: T. Chancalay)
  18. 90+2′M. Pasalic · Yellow card
  19. 90+2′J. Pereyra · Substitution (off: C. Harvey)
  20. 90+3′T. Spicer · Goal (assist: A. Griezmann)

Match statistics: Minnesota United v Orlando City

Statistic Minnesota United Orlando City
Possession 44% 56%
Shots on target 9 5
Total shots 20 6
Shots off target 7 1
Blocked shots 4 1
Corners 7 0
Fouls 13 9
Offsides 3 1
Yellow cards 2 2
Saves 2 6
Passes 402 544
Pass accuracy 86% 84%

Line-ups: Minnesota United v Orlando City

Minnesota United 3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 3 Kyle Duncan 6.9
  2. 9 Kelvin Yeboah 7.7
  3. 12 Drake Callender 6.7
  4. 13 Anthony Markanich 7.3
  5. 15 Michael Boxall 6.2
  6. 20 Wil Trapp 6.7
  7. 22 Marcus Caldeira 6.6
  8. 23 Morris Duggan 6.3
  9. 26 Joaquín Pereyra 8.2
  10. 28 Jefferson Díaz 6.6
  11. 30 Owen Gene 6.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 Alec Smir 6.6
  2. 2 Devin Padelford
  3. 5 Nicolás Romero
  4. 8 Tomás Chancalay 6.7
  5. 16 Aziel Jackson
  6. 18 Mauricio González 6.7
  7. 25 Nectarios Triantis 6.3
  8. 29 Mamadou Dieng
  9. 67 Carlos Harvey

Orlando City 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 4 David Brekalo 6.3
  2. 6 Robin Jansson 6.0
  3. 7 Antoine Griezmann 8.5
  4. 9 Daryl Dike 7.3
  5. 19 Zakaria Taifi 5.9
  6. 20 Eduard Atuesta 6.3
  7. 22 Justin Ellis 6.9
  8. 24 Griffin Dorsey 6.7
  9. 35 Joran Gerbet 6.9
  10. 71 Maxime Crépeau 7.3
  11. 77 Iván Angulo 6.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 5 Luis Otávio 6.9
  2. 10 Martín Ojeda 6.5
  3. 11 Tiago Souza
  4. 12 Javier Otero
  5. 14 Tyrese Spicer 7.5
  6. 16 Wilder Cartagena
  7. 23 Harvey Sarajian 6.7
  8. 57 Iago Silva
  9. 87 Marco Pašalić 6.2

Form and head-to-head: Minnesota United v Orlando City

Minnesota United

LLLWL

Orlando City

WWWWL

Major League Soccer standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 13 9 2 2 +20 29 WWWWDDWLWW
1 Nashville SC 13 9 3 1 +19 30 WDWWWWDWWL
2 SJ Earthquakes 14 9 2 3 +17 29 WWWWDDLLWW
2 Inter Miami 14 8 4 2 +9 28 WDDWWLWLWD
3 New England 13 8 1 4 +5 25 LWWWWLWWLW
3 Real Salt Lake 13 8 1 4 +7 25 WLWLWWLWWW
4 Seattle Sounders 12 7 3 2 +7 24 WWWDDWLLDW
4 Chicago Fire 13 7 2 4 +10 23 WWLWWWDLLW
5 Dallas 14 6 4 4 +7 22 WDLDWLWWLW
5 New York City 14 5 4 5 +5 19 DWWLWWDLLD
6 Los Angeles FC 14 6 3 5 +6 21 WWWWDLWDLW
6 New York RB 14 5 4 5 -8 19 LLDLDLDLWW
7 Charlotte 14 5 3 6 0 18 WDWLLLDLDW
7 Minnesota United 14 6 3 5 -4 21 LLDWLLWLDW
8 DC United 14 4 5 5 -4 17 WDLLDDLDDW
8 Houston Dynamo 13 7 0 6 -4 21 WLLLWWWWLL
9 LA Galaxy 14 5 4 5 0 19 WWDLWDWLDL
9 Cincinnati 14 4 5 5 -5 17 LLDWDLDWWL
10 Toronto 13 3 5 5 -6 14 LLWDWWDDDL
10 San Diego 14 4 5 5 +5 17 LLDWDWDWWL
11 Orlando City 14 4 2 8 -17 14 LLLWWLDLDL
11 Colorado Rapids 14 5 1 8 +2 16 WLLWLWLWLW
12 Columbus Crew 14 3 4 7 -4 13 LDDLWWLDLW
12 Portland Timbers 13 4 2 7 -4 14 LWLDWWDLLL
13 Austin 14 3 5 6 -9 14 LDLLDLDDWD
13 CF Montréal 13 4 1 8 -9 13 WLLWLLLWLL
14 Atlanta United 13 3 2 8 -7 11 LLLLWLDWWL
14 St. Louis City 13 3 4 6 -7 13 DLLLWDDLWW
15 Sporting KC 13 3 2 8 -21 11 DDLWLLLWLL
15 Philadelphia Union 14 1 4 9 -10 7 LLLLLLLDDL

Managers: Minnesota United v Orlando City

C. Knowles
Minnesota UnitedManagerC. Knowles
Oscar Pareja
Orlando CityManagerOscar Pareja

Match information: Minnesota United v Orlando City

Kick-off
·
Competition
Major League Soccer
City
Saint Paul
Surface
grass
Capacity
19,400