St. Louis City v Minnesota United

St. Louis City v Minnesota United in Major League Soccer ended 4:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: St. Louis City v Minnesota United

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · St. Louis City at 55.4% - the match finished 4:2, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · St. Louis City X 2 · Minnesota United Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 54.9% 23.0% 22.1% Home win · St. Louis City ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 55.4% 19.1% 25.5% Home win · St. Louis City ✔ Correct
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · St. Louis City ✔ Correct
Final score 4:2 Home win · St. Louis City
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.00 on a St. Louis City win, 3.74 on the draw and 3.29 on a Minnesota United win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
St. Louis City win 2.00 2.05 Betano 50% 55.4%
Draw 3.74 3.90 Betfair 26.7% 19.1%
Minnesota United win 3.29 3.45 Dafabet 30.4% 25.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.55 1.60 Unibet 64.5% 66.8%
Under 2.5 goals 2.37 2.42 Betano 42.2% 33.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.48 1.53 Unibet 67.6% 56.7%
Both teams to score - No 2.49 2.63 Betfair 40.2% 43.4%
Updated: 09.09.2026 23:25 · Average odds across 10 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: St. Louis City v Minnesota United

  1. 5′Tomás Chancalay · Goal (assist: Joaquín Pereyra)
  2. 18′Daniel Edelman · Goal
  3. 22′Carlo Holse · Goal (assist: Conrad Wallem)
  4. 38′Rafael Navarro Leal · Goal (assist: Carlo Holse)
  5. 47′Michael Boxall · Yellow card
  6. 57′Rafael Navarro Leal · Penalty
  7. 59′Rafael Santos · Substitution (off: Tomas Totland)
  8. 59′Daniel Edelman · Substitution (off: Christopher Durkin)
  9. 59′Carlo Holse · Substitution (off: Alexandru Măţan)
  10. 61′Kelvin Yeboah · Penalty
  11. 64′Kyle Duncan · Yellow card
  12. 75′Nicolás Romero · Substitution (off: Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño)
  13. 75′Kelvin Yeboah · Substitution (off: Maurice Malone)
  14. 75′Wil Trapp · Substitution (off: Nectarios Triantis)
  15. 76′Simon Becher · Substitution (off: Damion Downs)
  16. 76′Fallou Fall · Substitution (off: Lukas MacNaughton)
  17. 80′Kyle Duncan · Red card
  18. 83′Tomás Chancalay · Substitution (off: Aziel Jackson)

Match statistics: St. Louis City v Minnesota United

Statistic St. Louis City Minnesota United
Possession 66% 34%
Shots on target 8 3
Total shots 14 10
Shots off target 2 7
Blocked shots 4 0
Corners 6 5
Fouls 13 15
Offsides 0 1
Yellow cards 0 1
Red cards 0 1
Saves 1 4
Passes 584 307

Line-ups: St. Louis City v Minnesota United

St. Louis City 3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 R. Bürki 6.0
  2. 6 C. Wallem 7.1
  3. 9 Rafael Navarro 8.2
  4. 11 S. Becher 6.5
  5. 19 C. Holse 8.5
  6. 20 Rafael Santos 6.4
  7. 21 D. Polvara 6.3
  8. 24 D. Edelman 7.9
  9. 27 F. Fall 7.0
  10. 32 T. Baumgartl 6.6
  11. 99 J. Orozco 6.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 4 M. Fall
  2. 5 L. MacNaughton 6.1
  3. 7 T. Ostrák
  4. 8 C. Durkin 6.6
  5. 14 T. Totland 6.1
  6. 23 A. Mățan 6.3
  7. 39 B. Lundt
  8. 42 D. Downs 6.5
  9. 77 Jeong Sang-Bin

Minnesota United 3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 3 K. Duncan 4.7
  2. 5 N. Romero 5.7
  3. 8 T. Chancalay 7.4
  4. 9 K. Yeboah 6.8
  5. 12 D. Callender 5.9
  6. 13 A. Markanich 6.4
  7. 15 M. Boxall 5.4
  8. 20 W. Trapp 6.2
  9. 26 J. Pereyra 6.9
  10. 30 O. Gene 6.0
  11. 67 C. Harvey 6.0
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 A. Smir
  2. 11 M. Malone 6.1
  3. 16 A. Jackson 5.8
  4. 18 M. Gonzalez
  5. 22 Marcus Caldeira
  6. 25 N. Triantis 5.7
  7. 27 D. Taylor
  8. 28 J. Díaz 5.8
  9. 33 K. Chandler

Form and head-to-head: St. Louis City v Minnesota United

St. Louis City

DWDWD

Minnesota United

LLDWL

Major League Soccer standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 13 9 2 2 +20 29 WWWWDDWLWW
2 SJ Earthquakes 14 9 2 3 +17 29 WWWWDDLLWW
3 Real Salt Lake 13 8 1 4 +7 25 WLWLWWLWWW
4 Seattle Sounders 12 7 3 2 +7 24 WWWDDWLLDW
5 Dallas 14 6 4 4 +7 22 WDLDWLWWLW
6 Los Angeles FC 14 6 3 5 +6 21 WWWWDLWDLW
7 Minnesota United 14 6 3 5 -4 21 LLDWLLWLDW
8 Houston Dynamo 13 7 0 6 -4 21 WLLLWWWWLL
9 LA Galaxy 14 5 4 5 0 19 WWDLWDWLDL
10 San Diego 14 4 5 5 +5 17 LLDWDWDWWL
11 Colorado Rapids 14 5 1 8 +2 16 WLLWLWLWLW
12 Portland Timbers 13 4 2 7 -4 14 LWLDWWDLLL
13 Austin 14 3 5 6 -9 14 LDLLDLDDWD
14 St. Louis City 13 3 4 6 -7 13 DLLLWDDLWW
15 Sporting KC 13 3 2 8 -21 11 DDLWLLLWLL

Managers: St. Louis City v Minnesota United

Y. Damet
St. Louis CityManagerY. Damet
C. Knowles
Minnesota UnitedManagerC. Knowles

Match information: St. Louis City v Minnesota United

Kick-off
·
Competition
Major League Soccer
Surface
grass
Capacity
6,050