Puebla v Toluca

Liga MX
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Start time

When and where is Puebla v Toluca in Liga MX Is the match on? Here you’ll find the kick-off time, the free AI prediction (1X2), expected goals (xG), form from the last 10 matches, the head-to-head record and the probable starting line-ups. See the match prediction or the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Puebla v Toluca

What the models say

2 of 3 models lean towards Away win · Toluca (average probability 41.9%).
Model 1 · Puebla X 2 · Toluca Pick
ELO + Poisson 42.3% 25.4% 32.3% Home win · Puebla
Pro AI (XGBoost) 30.8% 20.8% 48.4% Away win · Toluca
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Toluca
Consensus 27.7% 30.4% 41.9% Away win · Toluca
Provider tip: Double chance : draw or Toluca · Model probabilities are informational - not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Bookmaker odds

The bookmakers are offering average odds of 4.52 on a Puebla win, 4.02 on the draw and 1.65 on a Toluca win.
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Puebla win 4.52 4.75 Bet365 22.1% 30.8%
Draw 4.02 4.33 Betfair 24.9% 20.8%
Toluca win 1.65 1.72 Betano 60.6% 48.4%
Over 2.5 goals 1.54 1.60 Betano 64.9% 57.4%
Under 2.5 goals 2.38 2.55 Betfair 42% 42.6%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.55 1.60 Superbet 64.5% 56.6%
Both teams to score - No 2.29 2.35 10Bet 43.7% 43.4%
Updated: 03.09.2026 04:34 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Form and head-to-head: Puebla v Toluca

Puebla

WLWWD
  • ANecaxa1–0W
  • AClub America0–2L
  • HSantos Laguna3–2W
  • ACF Pachuca3–2W
  • HGuadalajara Chivas1–1D

Toluca

WWWDW
  • HAtlas5–2W
  • HFC Juarez4–0W
  • AClub Queretaro2–1W
  • AAtlante FC0–0D
  • HNecaxa3–1W

Liga MX standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Toluca 7 5 1 1 +11 16 WWWDW
2 Club America 7 5 1 1 +9 16 LWWWW
3 Cruz Azul 8 5 0 3 +2 15 WWWLL
4 Guadalajara Chivas 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WDWWD
5 Club Queretaro 7 4 1 2 +3 13 WWLDW
6 Club Tijuana 7 4 1 2 +2 13 LWLWD
7 Puebla 7 4 1 2 +1 13 WLWWD
8 Atlas 8 4 1 3 -2 13 LDLWW
9 CF Pachuca 8 3 2 3 +5 11 WWDDL
10 U.N.A.M. – Pumas 7 3 2 2 +2 11 WLDDW
11 Monterrey 7 3 1 3 +3 10 DLLWW
12 Leon 7 3 1 3 0 10 LDWWW
13 Necaxa 8 2 2 4 -4 8 LDLDL
14 Tigres UANL 8 1 4 3 -2 7 DDDWL
15 Atlante FC 8 1 4 3 -5 7 LDDLD
16 Atletico San Luis 7 1 3 3 -5 6 LWDLD
17 Santos Laguna 8 1 1 6 -7 4 WLDLL
18 FC Juarez 8 0 0 8 -19 0 LLLLL

Managers: Puebla v Toluca

R. La Volpe
TolucaManagerR. La Volpe

Match information: Puebla v Toluca

Kick-off
·
Competition
Liga MX
Round
Apertura – 7