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Palmeiras v Vasco da Gama

Serie A
Palmeiras
4:1
Full time
Vasco da Gama

Palmeiras v Vasco da Gama in Serie A ended 4:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Palmeiras v Vasco da Gama

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Palmeiras at 68.7% - the match finished 4:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Palmeiras X 2 · Vasco da Gama Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 60.6% 23.4% 16.1% Home win · Palmeiras ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 68.7% 14.5% 16.9% Home win · Palmeiras ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Palmeiras ✔ Correct
Final score 4:1 Home win · Palmeiras
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.60 on a Palmeiras win, 3.90 on the draw and 5.48 on a Vasco da Gama win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Palmeiras win 1.60 1.65 1xBet 62.5% 68.7%
Draw 3.90 4.17 Pinnacle 25.6% 14.5%
Vasco da Gama win 5.48 6.10 Betano 18.2% 16.9%
Over 2.5 goals 1.89 1.93 Betano 52.9% 65.1%
Under 2.5 goals 1.90 1.97 Pinnacle 52.6% 34.9%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.88 1.97 Superbet 53.2% 58.5%
Both teams to score - No 1.84 1.91 William Hill 54.3% 41.5%
Updated: 23.08.2026 14:45 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Palmeiras v Vasco da Gama

  1. 9′Marlon Freitas · Yellow card
  2. 44′A. Gomez · Yellow card
  3. 46′A. Barboza · Substitution (off: Murilo)
  4. 47′J. Lopez · Goal (assist: Allan Elias)
  5. 50′Thiago Mendes · Yellow card
  6. 51′Vitor Roque · Penalty
  7. 56′Mauricio · Goal (assist: Andreas Pereira)
  8. 58′Cuiabano · Substitution (off: Riquelme Avellar)
  9. 58′Thiago Mendes · Substitution (off: Ramon Rique)
  10. 65′Adson · Substitution (off: N. Moreira)
  11. 65′David · Substitution (off: F. Colidio)
  12. 71′Allan Elias · Substitution (off: Felipe Anderson)
  13. 71′Vitor Roque · Substitution (off: J. Arias)
  14. 71′Marlon Freitas · Substitution (off: E. Martinez)
  15. 72′A. Gomez · Substitution (off: M. Hinestroza)
  16. 83′Robert Renan · Yellow card
  17. 83′A. Giay · Substitution (off: Khellven)
  18. 89′J. Lopez · Goal (assist: J. Arias)
  19. 90+4′F. Colidio · Goal

Match statistics: Palmeiras v Vasco da Gama

Statistic Palmeiras Vasco da Gama
Possession 57% 43%
Shots on target 4 2
Total shots 12 9
Shots off target 4 5
Blocked shots 4 2
Corners 5 3
Fouls 8 16
Offsides 1 2
Yellow cards 1 2
Saves 2 1
Passes 440 329
Pass accuracy 86% 85%

Line-ups: Palmeiras v Vasco da Gama

Palmeiras 3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 Carlos Miguel 7.7
  2. 2 Alexander Barboza 6.6
  3. 4 Agustín Giay 7.2
  4. 8 Andreas Pereira 7.3
  5. 9 Vitor Roque 7.3
  6. 15 Gustavo Gómez 7.0
  7. 17 Marlon Freitas 6.6
  8. 18 Mauricio 7.7
  9. 40 Allan 6.6
  10. 42 José Manuel López 8.2
  11. 56 Arthur Gabriel 6.6
Substitutes (12)
  1. 3 Bruno Fuchs
  2. 7 Felipe Anderson 6.9
  3. 11 Jhon Arias 6.5
  4. 12 Khellven
  5. 14 Marcelo Lomba
  6. 26 Murilo 7.2
  7. 30 Lucas Evangelista
  8. 32 Emiliano Martínez 6.7
  9. 37 Riquelme Fillipi
  10. 39 Heittor
  11. 45 Erick Belé
  12. 50 Luis Pacheco

Vasco da Gama 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Léo Jardim 5.9
  2. 3 Tchê Tchê 6.3
  3. 5 Santiago Sosa 6.6
  4. 7 David 6.6
  5. 11 Andrés Gómez 6.2
  6. 23 Thiago Mendes 6.7
  7. 28 Adson 6.7
  8. 30 Robert Renan 6.2
  9. 46 Carlos Cuesta 6.0
  10. 66 Cuiabano 5.9
  11. 96 Paulo Henrique 6.2
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 Puma Rodríguez
  2. 6 Lucas Piton
  3. 9 Facundo Colidio 6.5
  4. 13 Daniel Fuzato
  5. 17 Nuno Moreira 6.6
  6. 18 Marino Hinestroza 6.7
  7. 43 Lucas Freitas
  8. 77 Claudio Spinelli
  9. 80 Bruno André Azevedo Ribeiro
  10. 82 Riquelme Avellar 6.5
  11. 83 Ramon Rique 6.6
  12. 88 Cauan Barros

Form and head-to-head: Palmeiras v Vasco da Gama

Palmeiras

WWDDD

Vasco da Gama

WLWWW

Serie A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Palmeiras 16 10 5 1 +13 35 LWWWDDWWWW
2 Flamengo 15 9 4 2 +15 31 WWWDWWWWDD
3 Fluminense 16 9 3 4 +6 30 WWDWWWLLWL
4 São Paulo 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLLWLLWWWD
5 Athletico PR 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLWLWWWWDW
6 Bragantino 16 7 2 7 +1 23 WLLWWWWLLW
7 Bahia 15 6 5 4 +2 23 WDWDWWLWDD
8 Coritiba 16 6 5 5 +2 23 WWLWLWLDLD
9 Botafogo 15 6 3 6 +1 21 WLLLLWLWDW
10 Atlético Mineiro 16 6 3 7 -1 21 WLWLDWDLWD
11 Internacional 16 5 6 5 +3 21 DWLDLLLDWW
12 Vasco da Gama 16 5 5 6 -3 20 LLDLWDWLLD
13 Cruzeiro 16 5 5 6 -5 20 WWLWWDDLLW
14 Vitória 15 5 4 6 -4 19 WLWLLDWLDL
15 Grêmio 16 4 6 6 -2 18 DLDLLWLLWD
16 Santos 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LLLWWLDLWL
17 Corinthians 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LDWDWWLLDL
18 Remo 16 3 6 7 -8 15 LWLLLDWDLD
19 Mirassol 15 3 4 8 -6 13 DDLLLWDWLL
20 Chapecoense 15 1 6 8 -14 9 DDLLLDDWLL

Managers: Palmeiras v Vasco da Gama

Ferreira Abel
PalmeirasManagerFerreira Abel
Pedro Emanuel
Vasco da GamaManagerPedro Emanuel

Match information: Palmeiras v Vasco da Gama

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie A
Round
24
City
São Paulo
Surface
grass
Capacity
43,713