Málaga v Villarreal

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Start time 19:30

When and where is Málaga v Villarreal in La Liga Is the match on? Here you’ll find the kick-off time, the free AI prediction (1X2), expected goals (xG), form from the last 10 matches, the head-to-head record and the probable starting line-ups. See the match prediction or the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Málaga v Villarreal

What the models say

2 of 2 models lean towards Home win · Málaga (average probability 52.0%).

Model	1 · Málaga	X	2 · Villarreal	Pick
ELO + Poisson	55.3%	26.0%	18.8%	Home win · Málaga
Pro AI (XGBoost)	48.8%	23.9%	27.3%	Home win · Málaga
Consensus	52.0%	25.0%	23.0%	Home win · Málaga

Model probabilities are for information purposes only - they do not constitute betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Bookmaker odds

The bookmakers are offering average odds of 3.47 on a Málaga win, 3.74 on the draw and 1.96 on a Villarreal win.

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Málaga win	3.47	3.70 1xBet	28.8%	48.8%
Draw	3.74	3.94 Pinnacle	26.7%	23.9%
Villarreal win	1.96	2.04 1xBet	51%	27.3%
Over 2.5 goals	1.66	1.72 1xBet	60.2%	56.5%
Under 2.5 goals	2.23	2.31 1xBet	44.8%	43.5%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.57	1.60 Betano	63.7%	54.9%
Both teams to score - No	2.28	2.30 William Hill	43.9%	45.1%

Updated: 12.09.2026 11:42 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Form and head-to-head: Málaga v Villarreal

Málaga

DDLDL

13 Sep 2026ACelta de Vigo1–1D
6 Sep 2026HLevante0–0D
30 Aug 2026AReal Madrid0–4L
24 Aug 2026HDeportivo A Coruña1–1D
19 Aug 2026AAtlético de Madrid0–2L

Villarreal

LLLLD

14 Sep 2026HReal Betis1–2L
8 Sep 2026ABorussia Dortmund2–3L
5 Sep 2026HDeportivo A Coruña2–3L
28 Aug 2026ADeportivo Alavés0–1L
23 Aug 2026AAtlético de Madrid2–2D

La Liga standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+17	15	WWWWW
2	Real Madrid	5	4	0	1	+10	12	WLWWW
3	Deportivo Alavés	5	3	1	1	+6	10	LWWDW
4	Atlético de Madrid	5	3	1	1	+4	10	WLWDW
5	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+2	10	WDLWW
6	Deportivo A Coruña	5	2	3	0	+3	9	DWWDD
7	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	0	9	WLWW
8	Espanyol	5	2	1	2	+3	7	WDLLW
9	Athletic Club	5	2	1	2	+1	7	DWWLL
10	Racing Santander	5	2	1	2	0	7	WLWLD
11	Osasuna	5	2	1	2	-3	7	LLWWD
12	Real Sociedad	6	2	1	3	-5	7	LWDWL
13	Levante	5	1	2	2	-2	5	LDWDL
14	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-3	5	DDLWL
15	Celta de Vigo	6	0	4	2	-3	4	DDDLL
16	Rayo Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-6	4	LWLDL
17	Málaga	5	0	3	2	-6	3	DDLDL
18	Villarreal	4	0	2	2	-2	2	LLDD
19	Elche	5	0	2	3	-7	2	DLLLD
20	Valencia	5	0	1	4	-9	1	LLLLD

Match information: Málaga v Villarreal

Kick-off: Thu 17 Sep · 19:30
Competition: La Liga
Round: Regular Season – 6
Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda
City: Málaga
Surface: grass
Capacity: 30,044