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Southampton v Stoke City

English Championship
Southampton
3:1
Full time
Stoke City

Southampton v Stoke City in English Championship ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Southampton v Stoke City

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Southampton at 69.2% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Southampton X 2 · Stoke City Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 65.4% 21.5% 13.2% Home win · Southampton ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 69.2% 16.2% 14.5% Home win · Southampton ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Southampton ✔ Correct
Final score 3:1 Home win · Southampton
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.61 on a Southampton win, 4.08 on the draw and 5.06 on a Stoke City win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Southampton win 1.61 1.65 888Sport 62.1% 69.2%
Draw 4.08 4.37 Pinnacle 24.5% 16.2%
Stoke City win 5.06 5.40 Pinnacle 19.8% 14.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.67 1.72 Betano 59.9% 69.1%
Under 2.5 goals 2.17 2.24 Pinnacle 46.1% 31%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.70 1.73 Betfair 58.8% 57.8%
Both teams to score - No 2.07 2.10 10Bet 48.3% 42.2%
Updated: 22.08.2026 14:41 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Southampton v Stoke City

  1. 8′C. Larin · Goal (assist: F. Downes)
  2. 19′J. Bree · Yellow card
  3. 26′E. Galbraith · Goal (assist: S. Gallagher)
  4. 38′S. Gallagher · Yellow card
  5. 50′F. Downes · Yellow card
  6. 52′R. Manning · Yellow card
  7. 62′E. Galbraith · Yellow card
  8. 62′G. Hirst · Substitution (off: R. Bozenik)
  9. 70′S. Gallagher · Substitution (off: S. Ingelsson)
  10. 78′C. Larin · Substitution (off: D. Mubama)
  11. 78′L. Scienza · Substitution (off: L. Dobbin)
  12. 81′D. Soumare · Substitution (off: T. Rigo)
  13. 81′E. Bocat · Substitution (off: M. Talovierov)
  14. 82′M. Talovierov · Yellow card
  15. 86′S. Ingelsson · Yellow card
  16. 89′D. Mubama · Goal (assist: F. Azaz)
  17. 90′T. Fellows · Substitution (off: S. Edozie)
  18. 90+3′S. Ingelsson · Yellow card
  19. 90+3′S. Ingelsson · Red card
  20. 90+4′R. Manning · Penalty
  21. 90+5′F. Azaz · Substitution (off: R. Akachukwu)
  22. 90+5′K. Matsuki · Substitution (off: C. Bragg)

Match statistics: Southampton v Stoke City

Statistic Southampton Stoke City
Possession 58% 42%
Shots on target 5 2
Total shots 17 14
Shots off target 7 5
Blocked shots 5 7
Corners 4 2
Fouls 10 21
Offsides 2 2
Yellow cards 3 5
Red cards 0 1
Saves 1 2
Passes 475 326
Pass accuracy 87% 80%

Line-ups: Southampton v Stoke City

Southampton 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Daniel Peretz 5.9
  2. 3 Ryan Manning 7.7
  3. 4 Flynn Downes 6.9
  4. 5 Jack Stephens 7.3
  5. 7 Leo Scienza 6.9
  6. 9 Cyle Larin 7.6
  7. 10 Finn Azaz 7.3
  8. 14 James Bree 6.7
  9. 15 Nathan Wood 7.2
  10. 18 Tom Fellows 7.3
  11. 27 Kuryu Matsuki 6.7
Substitutes (9)
  1. 11 Lewis Dobbin 6.3
  2. 17 Joshua Quarshie
  3. 19 Cameron Archer
  4. 23 Samuel Edozie
  5. 25 George Long
  6. 26 Cameron Bragg
  7. 28 Divin Mubama 7.3
  8. 29 Romeo Akachukwu
  9. 34 Welington

Stoke City 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Viktor Johansson 6.2
  2. 2 Ben Johnson 5.9
  3. 7 Sorba Thomas 6.3
  4. 8 Ethan Galbraith 7.3
  5. 10 Jun-Ho Bae 7.5
  6. 15 George Hirst 6.5
  7. 16 Ben Wilmot 6.5
  8. 17 Eric Bocat 6.9
  9. 20 Sam Gallagher 6.9
  10. 23 Ben Gibson 6.3
  11. 27 Djibril Soumaré 6.6
Substitutes (9)
  1. 4 Ben Pearson
  2. 5 Luke Graham
  3. 6 Svante Ingelsson 4.9
  4. 9 Róbert Boženík 6.5
  5. 19 Tomáš Rigo 6.2
  6. 24 Joshua Griffiths
  7. 40 Maksym Talovierov 5.9
  8. 42 Million Manhoef
  9. 52 Laurence Giani

Form and head-to-head: Southampton v Stoke City

Southampton

WWDDW

Stoke City

WDWWL

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Southampton wins: 1; draws: 0; Stoke City wins: 0.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Stoke City 0–2 Southampton English Championship

English Championship standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 +11 14 WWWWD
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WLDWW
3 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 +3 14 DWWDL
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWL
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 +3 12 DDLWW
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 -1 12 DDLDW
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 3 2 1 +4 11 WDLWW
8 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 10 WWDDW
9 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 +1 10 WLDDW
10 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 0 10 WDWWL
11 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 -1 10 LWWWD
12 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 0 9 LWWLW
13 Millwall 6 3 0 3 0 9 LWLLW
14 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 -1 9 LWLWD
15 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 0 8 WLLDL
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WDDWL
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 -2 8 LWLLD
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 7 DWLLW
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 7 LDDWL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLLLL
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 -4 4 LDLLD
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLLWL
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 -7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 3 LDLDL

Managers: Southampton v Stoke City

Tonda Eckert
SouthamptonManagerTonda Eckert
M. Robins
Stoke CityManagerM. Robins

Match information: Southampton v Stoke City

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Championship
Round
2
City
Southampton
Surface
grass
Capacity
32,384